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Friday, October 21, 2011

SEC: What 2 Watch 4 - Week 8



12:00, Commonwealth Stadium
Lexington, KY
ESPNU





Record [point spread]:
Jacksonville State (5-1, 4-0 OVC)
Kentucky (2-4, 0-3 SEC)  [-9.5]

W2W4: Jacksonville State has a recent history of beating bad SEC teams.  Look no further than Ole Miss just a year ago.  JSU knows they can compete, and Jack Crowe has the team believing they are better than Kentucky.  Led by Washaun Ealey (formerly of UGA), I think Jacksonville State is definitely primed to dominate the bottom of the SEC.  Kentucky is bad, folks.  Really bad.  They're slow all over the field, and their offense is atrocious.  If Jax State gets the momentum early, this could be a runaway game.

On a side note, Kentucky spent $200,000 on Big Blue Madness last week.  Want to know how much Kentucky plans to spend on its "football team and recruiting travel" in FY12?  You guessed it, $200,000. Link.  Can we now please officially label Kentucky as a basketball school?  And perhaps ship them over the ACC?

Prediction: Jacksonville State, 20-13


12:21, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, MS
SEC Network




Record [point spread]:
#9 Arkansas (5-1, 1-1 SEC) [-15.5]
Ole Miss (2-4, 0-3 SEC) 

W2W4: And attempting to take the bottom spot away from Kentucky, we move on to Ole Miss.  Are these folks tired of Houston Nutt yet?  Of course they are.  And you mean to tell me those Hotty Toddy-old cotton money-plantation-owning-so's-and-so's just west of the Mississippi can't afford a $6M buyout?  Give me a break.  C'mon Ole Miss, "Nutt" up and show you care about competing in the SEC.  On the other side of the field, Arkansas is rolling right now.  They were humbled by Alabama, but came back fighting against Texas A&M.  Now Arkansas is sitting at 5-1, #9 in the nation, and Tyler Wilson is showing why he was pre-season All-SEC.

Prediction: Arkansas, 38-3


3:30, Tiger Stadium
Baton Rouge, LA
CBS




Record [point spread]:
Auburn (5-2, 3-1 SEC)
#1 LSU (7-0, 4-0 SEC) [-21]

W2W4: If there were ever a battle of two luckier teams, I'd like to see it.  The Mad Hatter was forced to suspend 3 players for this game, and two of them are starters.  Spencer Ware and Tyrann Mathieu won't play against Auburn, but John Chavis will just roll in another playmaker, and Michael Ford will probably have a career game.  Auburn's ability to simply just make plays will keep this game much closer than the experts think, and I don't expect this to a be blowout.  I think Auburn will be able to run the ball, control the clock, and ultimately shorten the game.  I wouldn't be surprised if some crazy special teams play swings the momentum one way or the other.

Prediction: LSU, 27-20


7:00,  Vanderbilt Stadium
Nashville, TN
ESPNU





Record [point spread]:
Army (2-4)
Vanderbilt (3-3, 1-3 SEC) [-11]

W2W4: Vanderbilt surprised me last week against Georgia, in more ways than one.  First, they actually had a shot to win the game.  Second, Logan Stewart's RIDICULOUS chop block against Kwame Geathers.  SportsByBrooks has a nice summary here.  After the game, James Franklin stated he was changing the view of Vanderbilt forever.  He sure is.  And the SEC seems all for it, by suspending both Stewart and Geathers for half a game.  No way Geathers should have been suspended for his reaction.  No.  Way.

I don't expect the game to be close.  Vanderbilt's a little iffy stopping the run, but Army just isn't very good.  They'll play hard, but in the end, I think Vanderbilt probably scores on defense to pull away.

Prediction: Vanderbilt, 24-10


7:15, Bryant-Denny Stadium
Tuscaloosa, AL
ESPN2





Record [point spread]:
Tennessee (3-3, 0-3 SEC)
#2 Alabama (7-0, 4-0 SEC) [-29.5]


W2W4: Another week, another "sure loss" predicted from the experts in regard to Tennessee.  Sure, things look bad, but you never say never.  Stranger things have happened, and even stranger things have happened during the 3rd (4th) Saturday in October.  Sure, Trent Richardson runs in beast mode, and Alabama's defense is NFL-esque.  If Tennessee can run the ball effectively, avoid turnovers, and win special teams, I believe they have a chance.  Will it be easy?  Hell no, and it'll take a near-perfect game.  But this rivalry seems to have an effect on both teams, and only God knows what the effect will be.  Maybe Alabama overlooks Tennessee?  Maybe the confidence gained in the first half of the LSU game is enough to have Tennessee believing they can compete?  Maybe Devrin Young becomes the first Tennessee player to house a kick return in 8 years?  Who knows.  One thing I know for sure, I'm guaranteed to say "Buck Fama" at least 200 times on Saturday, and by the end of the night, I'll probably be saying it without the filter engaged.

If you're going to the game down in Tuscaloosa, be sure to stop by T-Town MensWear.  I hear they've got some great discounts.

Go Vols.  Buck Fama.

Prediction: Tennessee, 20-17

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