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Friday, October 7, 2011

SEC: What 2 Watch 4: Week 6


12:00, Legion Field
Birmingham, AL
ESPN2





Record [point spread]:
Mississippi State (2-3, 0-3 SEC)  [-19]
UAB (0-4, 0-2 CUSA)

W2W4: Mississippi State gets a scrimmage before hosting South Carolina next week.  I fully expect State to cover against UAB, as UAB is bad.  Really bad.  However, it is Mississippi State, and Louisiana Tech gave MSU all it could handle.  Can MSU get caught looking ahead?  Nope.

Prediction: 55-13, Mississippi State


12:21, Williams-Brice Stadium
Columbia, SC
ESPN3




Record [point spread]:
Kentucky (2-3, 0-2 SEC)
South Carolina (4-1, 2-1 SEC) [-21]

W2W4: Well, at the start of the week, I would've predicted South Carolina by 24.  I think Marcus Lattimore would've rushed for nearly 200 yards in a complete blowout.  All in spite of Stephen Garcia.  Now Connor Shaw has been named the starter, and South Carolina's offense is in such disarray, Kentucky might actually be able to keep it close.  Lattimore will still get his yards, but Kentucky should stack the box and attempt to make Shaw throw the ball.  He won't be able to, and Lattimore is good enough to still get his yards against all 11 Kentucky defenders in the box.  Plus SC's defense is going to kill Kentucky.  I would, however, take Kentucky and the points.

Prediction: 24-13, South Carolina


3:30, Tiger Stadium
Baton Rouge, LA
CBS




Record [point spread]:
#17 Florida (4-1, 2-1 SEC)
#1 LSU (5-0, 2-0 SEC) [-14]

W2W4: LSU had a scrimmage last week to prepare for Florida.  Florida got decimated by Alabama.  LSU is prepared, Florida is limping.  Florida may be able to keep it close for a while, but ultimately LSU and their defense will overtake the gaytors.  A wildcard in this game will be Jordan Jefferson and Jarrett Lee.  Will Jefferson cause a rift, and some discontinuity in LSU's offense, or will Jarrett Lee secure his starting role?

Prediction: 34-17, LSU


7:00, Donald W. Reynolds Razorback Stadium
Fayetteville, AR
ESPN



Record [point spread]:
#15 Auburn (4-1, 2-0 SEC)
#10 Arkansas (4-1, 0-1 SEC) [-10]

W2W4: Auburn just keeps finding ways to win.  I can't explain it.  Arkansas has shown some fight, especially in the 2nd half of the Texas A&M game.  But how much of that was Texas A&M's inability to adjust?  I think Michael Dyer could be huge in this game for Auburn, and Arkansas' defensive line has been getting shredded, first by Trent Richardson and Eddie Lacy, and then by Christine Michael.  Arkansas gets Chizzed on, and some how Auburn pulls another game out of their ass.

Prediction: 20-17, Auburn


7:00, Bryant-Denny Stadium
Tuscaloosa, AL
ESPNU





Record [point spread]:
Vanderbilt (3-1, 1-1 SEC)
#2 Alabama (5-0, 2-0 SEC) [-29]

W2W4: Vanderbilt magical mystery tour is about to end.  Even with as a 29-point favorite, my money is on Alabama.  I mean, if Vanderbilt can only score 3 on South Carolina, good night.  Vanderbilt will be lucky to score against Alabama.  Will Alabama just tee off on Vanderbilt?  This should be a warm-up for the scrimmage next week (against Ole Miss).

Prediction: 35-0, Alabama


7:00, Neyland Stadium
Knoxville, TN
ESPN2




Record [point spread]:
Georgia (3-2, 2-1 SEC) [-2]
Tennessee (3-1, 0-1 SEC)

W2W4: Here we go.  Derek Dooley puts his mushroom stamp on Mark Richt's forehead this weekend for the "signature win" everyone claims he's been hunting.  This game is winnable for Tennessee.  It's also very losable.  But Tennessee has had 3 weeks of practice to get ready for this since the Florida game.  I think Tennessee realized how poorly it reacted to losing Justin Hunter in the Florida game, and I believe Tennessee is ready to take the next step.  Aaron Murray lit up Tennessee last season, and Georgia has some weapons on offense.  Orson Charles, Malcolm Mitchell, and Isaiah Crowell are all guys Tennessee will have to know, at all times, where they are on the field.  I also fully expect Da'Rick Rogers to be shaded by two guys: some rotation of Bacarri Rambo, Brandon Boykin, and Sanders Commings.  Special teams could be a real key Saturday night for both teams.  On the kick return front, Boykin is always a threat.  Can Devrin Young be a threat for Tennessee?  Blair Walsh, a notorious 'money' kicker, has developed Chuck Knoblauch syndrome, and Mike Palardy is a coin toss.  I think Neyland Stadium will be rocking, and Tennessee will be amped up.  If Tennessee can come out hot, the rout could be on.  And Barbara Dooley will approve.

Prediction: 31-17, Tennessee

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