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Friday, October 14, 2011

SEC: What 2 Watch 4: Week 7


12:00, Davis Wade Stadium
Starkville, MS
ESPN3





Record [point spread]:
#15 South Carolina (5-1, 3-1 SEC)  [-3]
Mississippi State (3-3, 0-3 SEC)

W2W4: Connor Shaw performed very well against Kentucky, but I think Kentucky's defense would make Morgan Newton or Larry Smith look All-SEC.  He'll get his chance to prove he can steer the ship this week against a decent Mississippi State defense.  Plus, with the dismissal of Stephen Garcia, Connor Shaw knows the job is his.  I expect Lattimore to get his yards and beat down the front 7 of MSU, and Alshon Jeffery should have his best game of the year with QB that can do more than just throw to the other team.  South Carolina's defense will have a field day against Chris Relf, especially if Vick Ballard can't remember how to run the ball.

Plus, I fully expect South Carolina to be fired up in response to Steve Spurrier's media meltdown earlier this week.

Prediction: South Carolina, 31-10


3:30, Neyland Stadium
Knoxville, TN
CBS




Record [point spread]:
#1 LSU (6-0, 3-0 SEC) [-17]
Tennessee (3-2, 0-2 SEC) 

W2W4: We all know how dominant LSU has been.  They run the ball at will, their defense is quick, fast, and powerful, and the team is just as crazy as its head coach.  This past Summer, when asked who he wanted a rematch against, Matt Simms responded immediately with "LSU."  He gets his wish this week, as he's the starter with the injury to Tyler Bray's right thumb.  Tennessee's offense was struggling without Justin Hunter, and now without Bray, Tennessee could be in big trouble.  With Matt Simms getting the start this week, I fully expect Tennessee to lean heavily on the running game.  Unfortunately, Tennessee has -29 yards rushing in two SEC games.  This game always seems to have some crazy story to it, whether it's a second chance goal line play (2010), a 21-point 2nd half comeback (2005), or a backup QB leading the charge (2001).  My orange-tinted crystal ball signed by Peyton Manning and Eric Berry says this game will be closer than the experts think.  Plus, even in the face of certain defeat, I can't pick against my boys.

Prediction: 17-16, Tennessee


6:00, Vaught-Hemingway Stadium
Oxford, MS
ESPN2




Record [point spread]:
#2 Alabama (6-0, 3-0 SEC) [-25.5]
Ole Miss (2-3, 0-2 SEC)

W2W4: Alabama is on a mission to redefine the way teams play college football.  They shutout Vanderbilt, and Nick Saban would love nothing more than to hold opponents scoreless for 8+ straight quarters.  Their defense brings NFL philosophies, size, speed, and talent to every situation and position.  The offense is built around the power running game, and Ole Miss is not equipped to handle it.  The Houston Nutt reign continues, and from what I hear, Ole Miss is not willing to pay the $6M buyout to cut the cord.  Shame.  Oh well, Ole Miss.  Enjoy your tailgates in The Grove and your Miss America tryouts.  

Prediction: Alabama, 41-0


7:00,  Jordan-Hare Stadium
Auburn, AL
ESPN





Record [point spread]:
Florida (4-2, 2-2 SEC) [-2]
#24 Auburn (4-2, 2-1 SEC)

W2W4: Florida's favored on the road, but I just don't see it.  Alabama pounded Florida inside, and LSU exposed the secondary.  I don't think Florida is equipped to handle the Gus Malzahn offense or Michael Dyer.  On offense, without a quarterback, Florida is one-dimensional with Demps and Rainey, and I think Auburn defensively is good enough to take them both out of the equation.  Florida's overall team speed keeps them in the game, but it's not enough to get a win.  Plus, I'm not sure Brissett or Driskell will handle the road environment very well.

Prediction: Auburn, 17-10


7:00, Vanderbilt Stadium
Nashville, TN
ESPN3




Record [point spread]:
Georgia (5-0, 2-0 SEC) [-11]
Vanderbilt (3-2, 1-2 SEC)


W2W4: Aaron Rogers' younger brother, Jordan, should see the field at quarterback, but it won't be nearly enough against a stout Georgia defense.  Vanderbilt's secondary is playing well, and they fly to the ball.  Plus, Aaron Murray likes to throw the ball up for grabs.  Isaiah Crowell is a little dinged up, but he should fine, and I expect him to get his 100 yards and 2 TDs.  Crowell and Orson Charles should be able to dominate Vanderbilt's linbackers, and this game gets out of hand in the 2nd half.

Prediction: Georgia, 41-14

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